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 Post subject: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Mon Nov 07, 2016 9:15 am 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
*crickets*

The Fall weather is very pleasant, I have to admit.

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Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


Last edited by cheapski on Sun Nov 20, 2016 10:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 6:48 am 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
Crickets really do like this weather here...
73 degrees presunrise temps and the wind switch is on.

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"For every unfortunate they kill, they cure a thousand." - John Muir regarding the Sierra.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 2:09 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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93° in El Cajon just now. Too hot for November but spectacular beach weather.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Wed Nov 09, 2016 4:28 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
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Driving through Long Beach it got up to 99 today!! :@


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Wed Nov 09, 2016 8:28 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Hotter today with big surf. Epic November swell.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 12, 2016 2:53 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
I suppose this is petty, but is anyone else annoyed that the SW satellite pic is now centered over Phoenix? I cant see anything incoming over the Pacific unless I go to the NASA satellite site.

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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 12, 2016 4:47 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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I use

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=jsani


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Fri Nov 18, 2016 6:30 pm 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
Flash... Wet Crickets** it may end up raining Sunday Pm....84% chance at my locale.
LoX - Best chance for moderate to heavy rain for slo and sba
counties will be late Saturday night through Sunday afternoon. For
Ventura and la counties, the best chance for heavy rain will be
Sunday afternoon through Sunday night.

As far as rainfall totals for coastal and valley areas,
0.50-1.00" seems like a good bet for slo and sba counties, with
0.25-0.50" in Ventura and la counties. Higher amounts will be
possible in the foothills and mountains. This forecast leans more
towards the GFS, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles more so than the NAM,
which is drier for areas south of pt. Conception.

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"For every unfortunate they kill, they cure a thousand." - John Muir regarding the Sierra.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 19, 2016 2:44 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
I literally watched the sky go from blue with stray clouds to completely covered! My forecast now says 100% heavy rain tomorrow. Of course last time I got .05" so we'll see.

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Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 19, 2016 3:26 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Exactly the same down in SD right down to the forecast of 100% chance of heavy rain tomorrow night. Feels like the temp has dropped with the clouds moving in.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 19, 2016 5:39 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
Time for the LOOP

Image

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Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 19, 2016 5:45 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
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I'd like to believe it but the last couple of seasons have humbled me quite a bit. I'm definitely hoping to be surprised!


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 19, 2016 6:32 pm 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
It's a stay tuned forecast...They upped the amounts of both four lettered words...

Lox - Snow levels are forecast to remain rather high and generally above
7500 feet thru Sun then lower to 7000 to 7500 feet Sun evening, and
to 6500 to 7000 feet later Sun night. There is the potential for
accumulating snow in the mountains with this storm system, with 3 to
6 inches possible above 7500 feet. Local amounts up to 10 inches
cannot be ruled out at the highest peaks of L.A. County as well.
Due
to the high snow levels with the heaviest precipitation Sun evening,
impacts on travel in the mountains should be limited to poor
visibility and wet roadways as the snow should fall generally
above resort levels.

Rainfall amounts with this storm system through Sun night are
generally expected to be 0.75 to 1.00 inch for most areas, with
local amounts up to 1.5 inches for south-facing slopes. However, up
to 2.25 inches cannot be ruled out in the far northwestern SLO

County coastal ranges. In addition, there is the potential for up to
0.50 inch per hour rainfall rates to occur with this storm, and a
Flash Flood Watch may eventually be needed for the recent burn areas.

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"For every unfortunate they kill, they cure a thousand." - John Muir regarding the Sierra.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sun Nov 20, 2016 12:33 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Posts: 12064
It just started raining lightly in Mission Valley.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sun Nov 20, 2016 1:14 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Posts: 23178
Location: 240 Hours Out
The more interesting weather problems of the day are regards
thunderstorms and snowfall. There was a lot of castellanus clouds
across the region this morning which reflects the convective
priming of the atmosphere that is already occurring. All of the
service area has thunderstorms in the forecast by 4pm with many
areas having them by 1pm. This may work out but will be looking at
the need for tweaking those times earlier a bit.

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Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


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