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 Post subject: Re: Socal Nopevember
PostPosted: Sun Nov 20, 2016 10:41 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 9:14 pm
Posts: 23178
Location: 240 Hours Out
.UPDATE...

A trough of low pressure continues to spin about 190 miles west-
southwest of Los Angeles this evening. A frontal band is rotating
into Los Angeles County this evening and rainfall intensity
should increase over the next several hours across the Los Angeles
and Ventura Counties. Rainfall amounts between 0.50 inch and 1.50
inches have fallen north of Point Conception with local amounts up
to near 2 inches with the rain band earlier. The band of rain
did weaken some as it moved south of Point Conception this
evening, but the intensity is starting to pick up as the front
pivots around. There is a chance that rainfall amounts may come in
under the forecast values for areas south of Point Conception,

but any further changes to flash flood watches for mud and debris
flows for the recent burn area will be tabled for now to observe
the band`s development. The enhancement on the radar should
continue as colder air aloft pushes in along the backside of the
front. Model parameters continue to indicate the propensity for
thunderstorms, possibly strong, later tonight. Good CAPE values
along with directional and speed shear can be seen on model
soundings at KLAX between 10 PM PST through 1 AM PST.

As a result, a winter weather advisory will be continued for the
Los Angeles and Ventura County Mountains. The main threat of snow
will be for areas above 7000 feet with accumulating snows likely
impacting travel on Highway 2 in Los Angeles County. Currently,
snowfall amounts between 3 to 8 inches will occur with local
amounts up to 9 to 12 inches. The highest amounts will likely
occur in the San Gabriel Mountains.



Image

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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Sun Nov 20, 2016 10:57 pm 
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Center Bowl
Center Bowl

Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 7:41 pm
Posts: 463
Location: Pine Mountain Club, CA
33 degrees at 6000' in Pine Mountain Club, with heavy rain/snow mix. Radar looks impressive as well!


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Sun Nov 20, 2016 11:47 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
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Joined: Wed Dec 29, 2010 9:35 am
Posts: 574
It's coming down pretty hard here in Seal Beach! Maybe this year I just need to pull an anti-jinx before every storm.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Mon Nov 21, 2016 9:44 am 
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Kiwi Flat
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 5:36 pm
Posts: 9087
Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
^Dont demean yourself like that.

0.65in in the bucket. Good slow soaker.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Mon Nov 21, 2016 10:02 am 
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Climax
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Joined: Sat Dec 17, 2011 10:04 pm
Posts: 2596
Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
.92" fell in my hood.

and this favored spot next to Opids camp.
Camp Hi Hill (CHXC1)
Latitude: 34.26°N Longitude: 118.10°W
Elevation: 4390 Ft
24 Hr Precip Ending 11/21/16 8 AM PST
1.47 Inches :)

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"For every unfortunate they kill, they cure a thousand." - John Muir regarding the Sierra.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Mon Nov 21, 2016 1:40 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
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Posts: 574
I could get used to storms like this all winter. We got 1.10" here, not bad!


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Mon Nov 21, 2016 3:14 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 9:14 pm
Posts: 23178
Location: 240 Hours Out
The local RAWS station sez .73" but my raintube and a bucket I put out say 1.25". Its nice either way.

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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Mon Nov 21, 2016 5:27 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
Cornice Bowl

Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 12:56 pm
Posts: 724
Got a few strong thundershowers this morning so I think we're up to about an inch here since the rain bucket was just under before.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Fri Nov 25, 2016 9:38 am 
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Kiwi Flat
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 5:36 pm
Posts: 9087
Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
Well theres #1. Appears to be another 1/2in or so coastal by Monday. :rain:
Image


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2016 2:35 pm 
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Climax
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Joined: Sat Dec 17, 2011 10:04 pm
Posts: 2596
Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
Nice solid rain starting... 8-)

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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2016 4:52 pm 
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Climax
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 12:48 pm
Posts: 2090
Location: Manzanita Mesa
Spirit Tree wrote:
Nice solid rain starting... 8-)


Started raining pretty good in San Marcos/Escondido about 45 minutes ago.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2016 4:53 pm 
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Climax
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 12:48 pm
Posts: 2090
Location: Manzanita Mesa
Getting white at base of MH East.

Edit: Bottom of Ch. 1 too. Woot woot!


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Sun Nov 27, 2016 2:17 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:24 pm
Posts: 12201
I even had rain in Death Valley this morning. That's a first for me. Should be in Mammoth by 5pm.


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Mon Nov 28, 2016 6:56 pm 
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Center Bowl
Center Bowl

Joined: Mon Jan 19, 2009 2:59 pm
Posts: 161
Location: Socal
Here is a encouraging update from Howard for Socal

As a note, it has been forecasted over the fall and summer that there will be a reemergence of the RRR “Ridicules Resilient Ridge” over the far north eastern pacific near the BC, Canadian Coast. So far, this prognostication has not developed and may not this winter. The latest CFS prediction is for the pool to remain in the current area all winter. This means that the majority of all winter forecasts by the “Experts” will be wrong! So Southern CA, you may have it your way after all with at least a normal winter or even a wet one. The position of the warm water in the Bering Sea would deliver more of the Split systems like this Fall at times, that does well for Southern CA! Also the current SST setup suggests possible AR events for the west coast later in the Winter. (Warm Wet Storms)

www.mammothweather.com


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 Post subject: Re: Socal Flowvember
PostPosted: Tue Nov 29, 2016 12:38 pm 
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Dave's Run
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Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:21 pm
Posts: 1889
liftedtacoma wrote:
RRR “Ridicules Resilient Ridge”


lmao

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