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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 1:26 pm 
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Kiwi Flat
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Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
Some Sunday in between storm pix from the Santa Anas.

How many people did I just photo? From Long Beach/PV left to across Santa Monica bay to Pt Dume middle rear to Downtown LA R.

Image

Catalina w San Clemente Island hiding L.

Image

San G looks good above 10k'

Image


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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 1:38 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
Nice pics! The other day waiting for a storm it struck me how much I had missed seeing actual clouds that werent fog these last 5 years.

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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 2:06 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
My precip. forecast on the wx table has been tripled for the next event stretching from tomorrow to early Thurs. Up until last night it was around .25" and now its .75" for the duration. It forecast .88" for the AR storm and it was right on the money.

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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 5:15 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
Now my forecast is for .94". The duration keeps extending and is now to midday Friday.

The 18Z GFS has the cold L dropping down to Baja.

Image

Image


The final twist in this stormy pattern comes in the form of a
cut-off low pressure system over western Oregon that drops
southward into southern California late Thursday. Lingering
showers Wednesday night will increase again to steady rain across
the entire region on Thursday. This system looks uncertain at the
moment on just how much over water trajectory is available for
precipitation totals, but I have leaned toward the wetter ECMWF
solution then. Probably a larger concern is the very cold air
aloft that could result in low elevation snow and/or graupel
showers Thursday afternoon into the night. I-5 Grapevine impacts
look possible with snow levels dropping to 4k feet or less.


.LONG TERM...(FRI-MON)

The cut-off low pressure system drops southward across the region
toward the Mexico border on Friday. Showers should continue early
Friday with mountain snow showers and potential impacts for
mountain travelers. It will definitely be a cool winter day as
this system slowly moves south and east of us.

Farther out after the break is the next big storm! If the GFS verifies its the start of another multi day, multi storm happening. This time its snow for all too.

Image

Image

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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 6:14 pm 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
[quote="2NAKLLR"]Some Sunday in between storm pix from the Santa Anas.

How many people did I just photo? From Long Beach/PV left to across Santa Monica bay to Pt Dume middle rear to Downtown LA R.

What did it come out to 10 mil... that's alot of faces....
The greenery is coming back 8-)
Today topped out at .93" ..if we had that every week I'd be a happy camper.
For my hood the CNRFC has .80" through Thursday. The six day at 1.11".

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"For every unfortunate they kill, they cure a thousand." - John Muir regarding the Sierra.


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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:52 pm 
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Climax
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Location: Manhattan Beach, CA
Quote:
Some Sunday in between storm pix from the Santa Anas.

How many people did I just photo? From Long Beach/PV left to across Santa Monica bay to Pt Dume middle rear to Downtown LA R.


Sunday was the clearest day I can remember down here. You could see details on San G (different ridges and the tree line) all the way from the south bay.

Pretty good rain down here, too. I tried to drain the pool, but I think the valve's welded itself shut due to lack of use!

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“Oh, yeah, you are going to get nailed.” - Meteorologist Dawn Fishler

"Fishing season starts soon and the ice should be gone and the snow should recede. If it hasn’t, just go skiing." - Dave McCoy


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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 11:52 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
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snowtrekker wrote:
Quote:
Some Sunday in between storm pix from the Santa Anas.

How many people did I just photo? From Long Beach/PV left to across Santa Monica bay to Pt Dume middle rear to Downtown LA R.


Sunday was the clearest day I can remember down here. You could see details on San G (different ridges and the tree line) all the way from the south bay.

Pretty good rain down here, too. I tried to drain the pool, but I think the valve's welded itself shut due to lack of use!
It really was! Driving home from Mammoth, right before Red Rock Canyon on the 14 we could see the local mountains and Baldy looked close enough to touch. At the 605/210 downtown LA seemed like it was right next to us and my dad could see Santa Barbara and San Clemente islands from the top of Newport Coast. Such a beautiful, clear day.


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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 12:48 am 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
I made a gif!

Image

Normally this would be way out but the GFS forecast the AR storm over 300 hours out to the day, and it hasnt moved this one around at all like usual.

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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 8:47 am 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
Its begun lightly raining up here.

The next 3 days have a foot and a half of snow forecast at the resort levels.

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Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 11:05 am 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
Look at these low snow levels for Thurs-Fri! Ski Palmdale.

Image

Image

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Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 1:54 pm 
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Center Bowl
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Location: Pine Mountain Club, CA
Decent rain here in Marina del Rey even though none is showing on the radar. Strange.


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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:17 pm 
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Stump Alley
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Location: Santa Monica CA
snowtrekker wrote:

Sunday was the clearest day I can remember down here. You could see details on San G (different ridges and the tree line) all the way from the south bay.


Saw Catalina from the Rim of the World area (Lake Arrowhead)

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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:23 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: 240 Hours Out
^^Wow!


Is this a classic moisture feed or what?

Image

This just in. Look at the revised precip. target for here.

Image

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Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


Last edited by cheapski on Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:34 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
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About an hour ago we had a nice little downpour here in Seal Beach. It took me about 30 minutes to get this reply posted! Anybody know what's up with the server for this forum?


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 Post subject: Re: SoCal WX: January Bread Thread
PostPosted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:38 pm 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
^^Must agree that's classic....
It's been a mixed bag since this morning around 7. Mist, heavy mist,drizzle(might be the same as heavy mist), rain and sun showers...
It all added up to .12"
Another inch may be added tonight.

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