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 Post subject: Re: September wx
PostPosted: Mon Sep 25, 2017 5:34 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
Cornice Bowl
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:44 pm
Posts: 657
playfulcoyote wrote:
Day time highs at around 10,000 ft level are going to be under 40 degrees on Friday and down to the low twenties at night. I like it on the cold side but this is out of my comfort range to be spending the night in a light weight tent. I'm going to push it back a couple of weeks.

From Howard's latest post:
"The Climate Forecast systems inter-seasonal outlook this morning shows a return of summer like weather with warmer than normal temperatures the 1st half of October."

Sounds like it is going to be beautiful hiking weather if this holds true.


Hey PC, from the SF office:

While above average temperatures have been forecast to continue into
the upcoming weekend, the latest forecast models are showing more of
a troughing pattern across the West Coast from this weekend into
early next week.
Until we see a bit more consistency in the model
solutions in the day 5-8 time frame, will not make any significant
changes to the extended forecast. With that said, if the latest
trends hold true, temperatures will have to be lowed back to below
seasonal averages. The 12Z operational run of the ECMWF also brings
a slight chance of precipitation to the region Sunday night into
Monday.
Again, will hold of on major changes until we gain better
confidence in the forecast models.

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 Post subject: Re: September wx
PostPosted: Tue Sep 26, 2017 9:47 am 
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Climax
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Joined: Sat Dec 17, 2011 10:04 pm
Posts: 2626
Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
Nothing too much going on here...carry on. Just refresher course....
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"For every unfortunate they kill, they cure a thousand." - John Muir regarding the Sierra.


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 Post subject: Re: September wx
PostPosted: Tue Sep 26, 2017 10:57 am 
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Center Bowl
Center Bowl

Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2010 4:30 pm
Posts: 381
Hey PC, from the SF office:

While above average temperatures have been forecast to continue into
the upcoming weekend, the latest forecast models are showing more of
a troughing pattern across the West Coast from this weekend into
early next week.
Until we see a bit more consistency in the model
solutions in the day 5-8 time frame, will not make any significant
changes to the extended forecast. With that said, if the latest
trends hold true, temperatures will have to be lowed back to below
seasonal averages. The 12Z operational run of the ECMWF also brings
a slight chance of precipitation to the region Sunday night into
Monday.
Again, will hold of on major changes until we gain better
confidence in the forecast models.
[/quote]

Thanks for the heads up Cheaps, yeah I think I missed my window of opportunity for nice comfortable overnight weather in the high country. If I do decide to do an overnighter I'd better be prepared for cold temps and possible winter like weather. I heard there were a number of rescues of people that were caught off guard by last Thursday's storm.
On Sunday afternoon I did a quick hike up to Crystal lake and then up to the crest from there. I was surprised by the amount of snow, a couple of drifts were knee deep, it was about 8 inches deep overall. It wont last but it definitely stopped the melting of last seasons snow fields.
I saw a bunch of tracks where someone had had some early season fun, I didn't see Surfnsnow's post till this morning so that's explains the who. Low tide for sure, but it looked like fun.
SurfnSnowboard wrote:
This Instagram video says 8-10" on the ridge. Looks fun but definitely super low tide.

https://www.instagram.com/p/BZW4iIYjgkL/


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