SoCal Flowvember?

snowhottie · **Joined:** Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:44 pm **Posts:** 1156

Rain rain rain?

FreshPow · **Joined:** Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:25 pm **Posts:** 735

snowhottie wrote:

Rain rain rain?

I would love for that to verify. I'm sick of this nasty dry weather and my lawn is nearly dead.

snowhottie · **Joined:** Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:44 pm **Posts:** 1156

I see drying. Maybe its just a wobble.

SurfnSnowboard · **Joined:** Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:24 pm **Posts:** 12584

Wobbled back.

2NAKLLR · **Posted:** Mon Oct 30, 2017 5:15 pm

Nice L headed for AZ.
Wonder if that wraparound is anything in the sierra?

snowhottie · **Joined:** Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:44 pm **Posts:** 1156

X post. Its more consistent now.

Socal gets it more Sunday - Tues.

snowhottie · **Joined:** Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:44 pm **Posts:** 1156

So much for consistency. Something dried up there.

playfulcoyote · **Joined:** Mon Mar 08, 2010 4:30 pm **Posts:** 505

Hope it shifts back.

Spirit Tree · **Posted:** Wed Nov 01, 2017 5:01 pm

The precip water values for so Cal next week look nice.
http://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/an ... 10-100.gif

Spirit Tree · **Posted:** Wed Nov 01, 2017 9:38 pm

lOX - this evening. It's flip flop season again...

"Confidence remains low with the precip forecast through early next
week as models continue to exhibit large run to run and model to
model differences. The operational run of the GFS continues to be
on the very high end of the ensemble spectrum in terms of precip
output while the European model (ecmwf) remains very light. The issue continues to
be how much moisture the trough will tap into as it sags south
into central and Southern California late in the weekend and it's
very likely we'll be dealing with this dilemma into the weekend."

2NAKLLR · **Posted:** Thu Nov 02, 2017 8:08 am

Rain!
More than a drizzle and the gutters are running.

boarddad · **Joined:** Mon Nov 03, 2008 3:02 pm **Posts:** 690

Nothing in LB. I didn't hang out clothes to dry today though. Probably time to finally get the drier fixed

playfulcoyote · **Joined:** Mon Mar 08, 2010 4:30 pm **Posts:** 505

Looking and feeling kind of threatening here in Huntington Beach. Clouds are thickening. Just starting to get a very light drizzle.

2NAKLLR · **Posted:** Thu Nov 02, 2017 10:43 am

Coastal OC.
w00t!

Spirit Tree · **Posted:** Sat Nov 04, 2017 6:15 am

It's never going to rain again...
Time to wash your cars, tear off the roof, start that exterior paint project...Did I miss anything?

Official LoX discussion about this situation..
GFS and European model (ecmwf) solutions continue to disagree on the exact timing
of another trough of low pressure affecting the area for late next
week. GFS solutions are more aggressive with the moisture and a
pattern more favorable for Southern California relative to the
European model (ecmwf) solutions, but moderate confidence exists for a period of
cooler, cloudy and unsettled weather as early as late Wednesday
night or early Thursday morning and as late as Saturday. Slight
chance to chance pops have been reintroduced into the forecast for
late next week. If GFS solutions are correct, a moist air mass
could move over the region in southwest flow. 850 mb mixing ratios
climb to near 9 g/kg, which is impressive for a Fall storm
system. For now, mostly cloudy skies with mentions of rain/showers
seems the best approach until model solutions offer up a bit
better agreement. Temperatures for Thursday and Friday remain on
the cool side of guidance.

SoCal Flowvember?

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