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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Mon Jan 08, 2018 3:46 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
Cornice Bowl
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Posts: 915
^^I think it was the trajectory of the L center dropping further south to SoCal.

1.38" since midnight, in a nice steady manageable rain. Its mild for Jan. outside.

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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Mon Jan 08, 2018 5:49 pm 
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Center Bowl
Center Bowl

Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2010 4:30 pm
Posts: 434
Spirit Tree wrote:
mammothsnowman wrote:
I have a half inch so far.

You can watch my driveway live if you like:
http://www.mammothsnowman.com/mammoth-m ... -web-cams/


Still missing the thermometer...maybe the guy across the street can get a big LED read out thermo.
Do appreciate the camera 8-)



And if it's not asking too much, could you pound in a 10 foot post with inch and foot incremental markings on it in your neighbor's front yard. Be sure to make the markings big enough to see from across the street. Come to think of it, after last season maybe we better make it a 15 or 20 foot post. If your neighbor has an issue with it, tell him it is for the greater good. :nod:
And yes, I too appreciate the camera, thank you.


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Mon Jan 08, 2018 6:03 pm 
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Climax
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Joined: Sat Dec 17, 2011 10:04 pm
Posts: 2745
Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
playfulcoyote wrote:
Spirit Tree wrote:
mammothsnowman wrote:
I have a half inch so far.

You can watch my driveway live if you like:
http://www.mammothsnowman.com/mammoth-m ... -web-cams/


Still missing the thermometer...maybe the guy across the street can get a big LED read out thermo.
Do appreciate the camera 8-)



And if it's not asking too much, could you pound in a 10 foot post with inch and foot incremental markings on it in your neighbor's front yard. Be sure to make the markings big enough to see from across the street. Come to think of it, after last season maybe we better make it a 15 or 20 foot post. If your neighbor has an issue with it, tell him it is for the greater good. :nod:
And yes, I too appreciate the camera, thank you.

If your at it might as well throw up one of those directional wind socks...any colour is ok. Thanks ;)

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Life is not measured by the number of breaths we take but by the places and moments that take our breath away. - ANONYMOUS


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Mon Jan 08, 2018 6:35 pm 
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Center Bowl
Center Bowl

Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2010 4:30 pm
Posts: 434
.LONG TERM...Thursday onward...
After a quick brushby system along the Nevada and Oregon border
Thursday night into Friday morning, the ridge returns for next
weekend with dry and mild weather in store.

Simulations continue to trend towards the ridge not holding onto the
West for incredibly long. The trend has been for wetter weather to
return the week of January 15th and that continues for the latest
simulations.
A large scale trough just off the Pacific Northwest
coast should allow for some increased chances for precipitation
going into the remainder of that week. Although the trough will set
up off the Pacific Northwest coast and there is a substantial
moisture tap showing up across the Pacific, there isn`t a guarantee
for precipitation in the Sierra and western Nevada quite yet. There
remains quite a bit of uncertainty as to where the jet and moisture
will set up along the coastline. -Edan

Great news!


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Mon Jan 08, 2018 7:00 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
Cornice Bowl
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:44 pm
Posts: 915
Spirit Tree wrote:
playfulcoyote wrote:
Spirit Tree wrote:
Still missing the thermometer...maybe the guy across the street can get a big LED read out thermo.
Do appreciate the camera 8-)

And if it's not asking too much, could you pound in a 10 foot post with inch and foot incremental markings on it in your neighbor's front yard. Be sure to make the markings big enough to see from across the street. Come to think of it, after last season maybe we better make it a 15 or 20 foot post. If your neighbor has an issue with it, tell him it is for the greater good. :nod:
And yes, I too appreciate the camera, thank you.

If your at it might as well throw up one of those directional wind socks...any colour is ok. Thanks ;)


er maybe not

The closest station to me is now at 1.8" of rain and the forecast was for 1.75" for the total event.

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The poster still known as Cheapski
Come for the weather, stay for the bacon, dont get kicked off the forum


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Tue Jan 09, 2018 3:55 am 
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Stump Alley
Stump Alley

Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:37 am
Posts: 57
Sure thing donate all the stuff and we will put it up. :lol:


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Tue Jan 09, 2018 8:00 am 
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Center Bowl
Center Bowl

Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2010 4:30 pm
Posts: 434
With this storm failing to meet expectations, it looks like our
snowpack in the Sierra will remain in 30-50% of normal range for
now. Trust me when I say, many of us here are just as disappointed
as many of you likely are this morning. -Zach

Getting good rain down in SoCal though. Good news is it looks like the West Coast Ridge wont last very long this time around. Maybe we can get a decent Jan. a Monster Feb. and a big March.


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Tue Jan 09, 2018 10:31 am 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:20 pm
Posts: 15205
Location: Little slice of heaven in the Eastern Sierra
Singing the split flow blues this morning. :(

Image

Although I didn't mind pushing 1/4" of slush off our front porch this morning. :D

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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Tue Jan 09, 2018 12:59 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Posts: 12416
Mammoth is reporting 6" in the last 24hrs which would be 4:1 ratio. That's some heavy Sierra Cement.


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Tue Jan 09, 2018 1:19 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 12:04 am
Posts: 783
Location: Hell awaits...
Image

Ch 22 first run on avy 1...Thick snow for sure. Calm wind.
Forecast (mine) officially a bust. Socked in main lodge side but light precip.


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Tue Jan 09, 2018 1:35 pm 
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Dave's Run
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 12:53 pm
Posts: 1538
turning to snain at 7800', good day for a book read by the fire. Cut Off low for sure - never has been any wind. Started as snow yesterday, then turned to drizzle here but the snowline looked to be about at Chair 15 when the clouds lifted this AM because it went almost to the base of the bluff across the meadow.


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Wed Jan 10, 2018 10:24 am 
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Stump Alley
Stump Alley

Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:37 am
Posts: 57
You never share you're forecasts....

bombtripper wrote:
Image

Ch 22 first run on avy 1...Thick snow for sure. Calm wind.
Forecast (mine) officially a bust. Socked in main lodge side but light precip.


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Wed Jan 10, 2018 11:31 am 
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Kiwi Flat
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 5:36 pm
Posts: 9286
Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
It was under duress by extortion.
See what that gets these days.


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Thu Jan 11, 2018 3:06 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
Cornice Bowl
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Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 12:04 am
Posts: 783
Location: Hell awaits...
I forecast 20-30” storm total for mammoth as measured at sesame. I kept flip flopping with Baldy from around 12”, at one point potential to 30”. Cold air just didn’t mix in well. Baldy got 4” of liquid it appears, reports 6” of snow. Mammoth per patrol 11” of snow with 1.42” of liquid. I did warned to the kooks a shift of 50-100 mi of the low will dictate precip outcome. It shifted south. Closed low weatherman’s woes.

I took a look at today’s 12z Euro operational run and it shows the change to instability might come around the 16th. Then a large open wave trough from the gulf on the 18th but coming in more interior. Not gonna speculate anything at this point other than there will be a shift to a series of storms starting mid month to affect the west coast (the west coast is a long ass coast).


Instability flowed thru yesterday until noon delayed the top’s opening. Patrol was able to finish their avy work with better vis in the afternoon. Soon after 23 fired up again for good and the quasi top finally opened, but a few kooks were able to back door it before 23 loaded. Something I don’t like.. it’s similar to opening back of 3. Ch 3 was the best place on the hill while the top stayed closed. Moderate to strong west winds provided windbuff on the face. Ch5 was not as good as it benefits more from a SW wind direction. I got fresh line over dropout 1. Thin breakable crust, no surprise. Best snow up top from my experience was P2 which was closer to powder producing face shots. Surprisingly they kept 23 running but closed ch1 (it reopened around3pm), they closed ch 3, ch5, and G2. Rode back to canyon it was firm on the groomers, prob gonna stay that way, ski main instead. Good day milked it for 38K of vert.

yesterday
Image

Image


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 Post subject: Re: Jonesing for January storms
PostPosted: Thu Jan 11, 2018 7:57 pm 
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Stump Alley
Stump Alley

Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:37 am
Posts: 57
With the new tillers on the cats, only takes a couple nights and those hard pack runs to Canyon will be great corduroy. Amazing what they can pull off...

Thanks for your weather update!


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