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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Sun Mar 11, 2018 6:17 pm 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
00Z GFS is showing area from aprox. SFV to South Bay with QPF of 3.24" aprox. ;15th-18th.
Sagging a bit south of SB, a good thing.

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Sun Mar 11, 2018 6:38 pm 
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Kiwi Flat
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Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
I was just looking at 1-2" coastal from malibu to San Diego for friday-saturday. Hoping for it.


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:38 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:57 am 
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Dave's Run
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This is the story from SF:

Quote:
At the synoptic level, forecast models show a very unsettled
weather pattern through the next week, if not beyond, beginning
with the arrival of a broad trough into the region tonight into
tomorrow. This broad trough contains several embedded vorticity
maxima, of which two are strong enough to create their own
circulations within the broader parent trough. These vorticity
maxima will play off of each others angular momentum cause the
broader parent trough to become sluggish, if not quasistationary
as it moves over the area, leading to this extended streak of
unsettled weather.


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:58 am 
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Dave's Run
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SurfnSnowboard wrote:
7 day is looking scary for the Santa Barbara burn areas.

Looks like a soggy week ahead.

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It went down. It could go up again, who knows. Edit: I just realized the first one probably included the rain that just happened.

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 7:03 pm 
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Dave's Run
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Location: Orange County, CA
Just started raining in Lake Forest (South OC)

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:31 pm 
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Broadway
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Looks like most of the snow has been taken out of the forecast.


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2018 5:50 am 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
Checked the 00Z GFS and the forecast QPF totals through the 18th have really dwindled...
Anacapa with .98" the rest of us .25" to .75". So basically .98" is for the birds...(and ranger).

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2018 9:52 am 
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The 20th-23rd storm looks good so hang in there.

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2018 6:39 am 
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First Storm: foul tip, Strike one


Sigh! :(


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2018 10:04 am 
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Hot off the press

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2018 10:38 am 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
^^^12Z GFS. Noticed that as well crazy totals. There was a bullseye amount of 7.21" QPF around; 33.44,-117.49
Gutters should be cleared if this comes to be...through the 23rd.

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2018 11:26 am 
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That means its going to be all rain from the south with amounts like that.

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2018 11:37 am 
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Kiwi Flat
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Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
No rain in Imperial. Hot in Brawley. Some wind.


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2018 12:59 pm 
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EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION...AMENDED
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
201 PM EDT WED MAR 14 2018

VALID 12Z SAT MAR 17 2018 - 12Z WED MAR 21 2018

PATTERN OVERVIEW
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
...MEANWHILE, A DEEP CYCLONE
EVENTUALLY GETS KICKED TOWARDS CA AS A STRENGTHENING RIDGE IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM CAUSES A CLOSED CYCLONE TO DIVE SOUTHWARD FROM THE
GULF OF ALASKA INTO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.

WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS/THREATS
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW INITIALLY OVER THE WESTERN STATES
TAPERS OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE WEEKEND AS SUPPORTING
DYNAMICS HEAD INTO THE PLAINS. THE SYSTEM EVOLVING OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC SHOULD BEGIN TO PUSH MOISTURE INTO THE WEST AROUND
TUESDAY. THE BEST FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION WITH THIS EVENT SHOULD
BE OVER PORTIONS OF CA, WITH NORTHERN-CENTRAL AREAS SEEING HIGHEST
TOTALS THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY BASED ON THE PREFERRED SCENARIO.
SNOW LEVELS SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER WITH THIS ACTIVITY THAN THE
PRECEDING EVENT. THE DEPARTURE OF THE INITIAL WESTERN UPPER
TROUGH ALLOWS FOR MODERATION OF TEMPERATURES AFTER SOME AREAS SEE
HIGHS 10-15F BELOW NORMAL DURING THE WEEKEND.

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