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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:57 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
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playfulcoyote wrote:
I appologize for my pessimistic attitude ( I've had a total of about 11 hours sleep over the last four nights and yeah I'm no fun to be around right now. 😠 ) I guess I'm just envious of those areas getting hit hard. I'll keep my negativity off the board 🙊 I am thrilled that the Southern Sierra is getting soaked though. 🐵



Wow, what a difference a little sleep can make. New day, completely different attitude. Even though the sun is out and it is nice and warm in Huntington Beach right now I'm actually a bit pumped up about the possibilities for tomorrow morning. I'm thinking we're going to get a good soaking along the LA/OC line. Seeing that satellite loop and that cold blob pushing on down gives me reason to hope. I'm thinking a good inch and a half maybe more if it lasts awhile. :rock:


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2018 6:31 pm 
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Hemlock Ridge
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....that's what therealme's L palm said...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4wnzVMUbpV4


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2018 8:45 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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CNRFC updated the 6 day qpf tonight and it still has about 8" for the SB mountains with about 5" in 24hrs starting tomorrow morning. Tonight the blob has shifted north slightly but it won't be long before it shifts back.

Image


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2018 8:48 pm 
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Dave's Run
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So far, Huntington Beach has not received a drop.

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2018 8:54 pm 
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Dave's Run
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At 4:30 today, I was driving in HB and received a few sprinkles on my windshield. Or maybe that was from the truck in front of me spraying his windshield washer fluid.


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2018 9:31 pm 
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Kiwi Flat
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Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
Its up in SLO now.
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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2018 10:02 pm 
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Dave's Run
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SurfnSnowboard wrote:
Tonight the blob has shifted north slightly but it won't be long before it shifts back.


That's the axis re orientation that usually happens with these storms. And thats when the rain really pounds those transverse ranges across SB and VTU when the flow is really perpendicular to the mountains.

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2018 4:48 am 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
LoX this AM - word of the day - "copious!"
In addition to the main frontal band radar and satellite both
show a fast growing area of rain that will move into southern sba
County/vta/la counties in the next few hours so it looks like most
of the area will be wet by sunrise.

The most important considerations for the todays weather is 1. The
strong moist southerly flow which will produce copious rain as it
intersects the transverse coastal ranges at a near 90 degree
angle. Rainfall rates could be up to four times higher than the
rainfall rates over the flatter terrain.
2. The convective nature
of the system. Satellite imagery shows the clouds are much more
bubbly than yesterdays more stratiform clouds
. This make sense
given that this system is being driven by a more dynamic cold
front as well as a jet.

Rainfall rates over slo/sba/vta will range from .50 to 1.00
inches per hour with rates in excess of 1 inch per hour under
tstms. La County rainfall rates will range from a third to two
thirds inch per hour with rates of 1 inch per hour under thunderstorms.

Rainfall amounts today will range from .75 to 1.5 inches across
the flatter coasts with 2 to 4 inches across the coastal slopes.
The interiors will see a half inch to an inch of rain and the
Antelope Vly will see a quarter to a half inch of rain
Image

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2018 7:00 am 
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Cornice Bowl
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Posts: 505
From this morning's "Area Forecast Discussion":


This will be the final day of this impressive rain event. For all
intents and purposes the atmospheric river (AR) event has
transitioned into a cold frontal event. A cold front sweeping in
from the west has tilted the AR into a N/S orientation. This
transition did lift the AR up and away from SBA/VTA/LA counties
and these area for the most part been dry for the past 9 hours.

Meanwhile on the ground in HB: (cue the sound of wind)

Image

That's alright, it's still coming and should be hitting here sooner than later. I just hope it lasts for six hours or more.


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2018 8:16 am 
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Dave's Run
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Location: Orange County, CA
I think I heard some rain last night? maybe?

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2018 8:20 am 
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Dave's Run
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I dont know what you mean its been raining 3 days now HeRe. :P

Are you guys getting high winds cuz its quite windy now.

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2018 8:33 am 
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Kiwi Flat
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Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
No. No wind. Balmy for days.
Just now seeing 1st drops.
Wheee.


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2018 8:37 am 
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Dave's Run
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Location: Orange County, CA
snowhottie wrote:
I dont know what you mean its been raining 3 days now HeRe. :P

Are you guys getting high winds cuz its quite windy now.


None in South OC

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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2018 9:44 am 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
It's time for ya'll down south....
Image

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Life is not measured by the number of breaths we take but by the places and moments that take our breath away. - ANONYMOUS


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 Post subject: Re: So Cal Mighty March Storms...
PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2018 10:12 am 
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Kiwi Flat
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Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
Overblown radar.
True story.


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