Forums
It is currently Thu Jan 19, 2017 6:04 am

All times are UTC - 8 hours [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 674 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 41, 42, 43, 44, 45
Author Message
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Wed Sep 14, 2016 7:45 pm 
Offline
Kiwi Flat
Kiwi Flat
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 5:36 pm
Posts: 8610
Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
Yes.
Yes.

_________________
I used to be with it, then they changed what it was. Now what I'm with, isn't it, and what's it seems weird and scary to me. It'll happen to yoooouuu.


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Sep 29, 2016 4:05 am 
Offline
Rodger's Ridge
User avatar

Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 9:14 pm
Posts: 22591
Location: 240 Hours Out
This came in my Spotter newsletter

As of this writing, the forecast for this upcoming rainfall year from the Climate Prediction Center calls for equal chances (33 percent) for above, below and near normal rainfall across southwestern California. The expected presence of ENSO-neutral conditions across the equatorial Pacific this winter may tip the odds toward another drier-than-normal winter. Climatologically speaking, however, the chance of southwestern California having another exceptionally dry rain season (e.g., less than 50 percent of normal) is low. So there is some room for optimism as we look forward to the 2016-17 rainy season.

Isnt that just saying, "its so bad, the only way is up from here"?

_________________
Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2016 1:54 pm 
Offline
Dave's Run
Dave's Run
User avatar

Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:21 pm
Posts: 1742
^

Image

_________________
http://jonnycoppfoundation.org/ | Make your own Legends


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Oct 13, 2016 11:43 am 
Offline
Kiwi Flat
Kiwi Flat
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 5:36 pm
Posts: 8610
Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
Breaking news:
The scales have tipped. Now there is a 75% chance of la nina...

Alrighty then.

_________________
I used to be with it, then they changed what it was. Now what I'm with, isn't it, and what's it seems weird and scary to me. It'll happen to yoooouuu.


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Fri Oct 14, 2016 3:38 pm 
Offline
Dave's Run
Dave's Run
User avatar

Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:21 pm
Posts: 1742
2NAKLLR wrote:
Breaking news:
The scales have tipped. Now there is a 75% chance of la nina...

Alrighty then.


Good to know?

lol

_________________
http://jonnycoppfoundation.org/ | Make your own Legends


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Nov 10, 2016 1:53 pm 
Offline
Kiwi Flat
Kiwi Flat
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 5:36 pm
Posts: 8610
Location: In the gurgling maw of the Pacific.
Wel theyre all in on La Nina now and all the patterns we know by now go with it -Dry SW. The fly in the finger is the positive temp anomalies in the PAC except for the small 3.4zone. I still think and hope its not as clearcut La Nina, as last year sure wasnt clearcut El Nino expectations in the SW.

_________________
I used to be with it, then they changed what it was. Now what I'm with, isn't it, and what's it seems weird and scary to me. It'll happen to yoooouuu.


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:40 am 
Offline
Dave's Run
Dave's Run
User avatar

Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:21 pm
Posts: 1742
the little girl is soaking wet, evidently

_________________
http://jonnycoppfoundation.org/ | Make your own Legends


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 11:33 am 
Offline
Rodger's Ridge
User avatar

Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 9:14 pm
Posts: 22591
Location: 240 Hours Out
2NAKLLR wrote:
Wel theyre all in on La Nina now and all the patterns we know by now go with it -Dry SW. The fly in the finger is the positive temp anomalies in the PAC except for the small 3.4zone. I still think and hope its not as clearcut La Nina, as last year sure wasnt clearcut El Nino expectations in the SW.

So we got a dry El Nino, and a really wet La Nina.

_________________
Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 12:52 pm 
Offline
Rodger's Ridge
User avatar

Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:24 pm
Posts: 11476
cheapski wrote:
2NAKLLR wrote:
Wel theyre all in on La Nina now and all the patterns we know by now go with it -Dry SW. The fly in the finger is the positive temp anomalies in the PAC except for the small 3.4zone. I still think and hope its not as clearcut La Nina, as last year sure wasnt clearcut El Nino expectations in the SW.

So we got a dry El Nino, and a really wet La Nina.


If Trump can get elected President then a wet La Niña year shouldn't be a big surprise. We're living in a very strange time.


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 1:41 pm 
Offline
Rodger's Ridge
User avatar

Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 9:14 pm
Posts: 22591
Location: 240 Hours Out
2NAKLLR wrote:
Wel theyre all in on La Nina now and all the patterns we know by now go with it -Dry SW. The fly in the finger is the positive temp anomalies in the PAC except for the small 3.4zone. I still think and hope its not as clearcut La Nina, as last year sure wasnt clearcut El Nino expectations in the SW.

cheapski wrote:
So we got a dry El Nino, and a really wet La Nina.


SurfnSnowboard wrote:
If Trump can get elected President then a wet La Niña year shouldn't be a big surprise. We're living in a very strange time.

Stop that crazy talk. Next thing you'll tell me is that KM has his own cable weather network.

_________________
Come for the weather, stay for the drama, eat the bacon, triple the salmon


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 2:05 pm 
Offline
Dave's Run
Dave's Run
User avatar

Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:21 pm
Posts: 1742
SurfnSnowboard wrote:

If Trump can get elected President then a wet La Niña year shouldn't be a big surprise. We're living in a very strange time.


obviously the effect of climate change

la nina the new precip delivery gal

but - really though, one of our last big years was la nina

it's not THAT odd

_________________
http://jonnycoppfoundation.org/ | Make your own Legends


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 2:23 pm 
Offline
Center Bowl
Center Bowl

Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2010 4:30 pm
Posts: 200
Durring the winter of 96/97 with the similar situation and the historic flood, the tap was shut tight after January.
According to MM snowfall history the mountain only got a total of 8 inches of snow through Feb, March, April and May. And I imagine most of January's totals were in the first week or two of the year. I hope we don't get a repeat of that.


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 11:42 pm 
Offline
Rodger's Ridge
User avatar

Joined: Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:20 pm
Posts: 14562
Location: Little slice of heaven in the Eastern Sierra
^ We were just discussing that very season, too. The fire hose can shut off just as quickly as it turned on. We've seen it happen many winters while residing here. Exactly why we are not out of the drought woods by any means yet.

_________________
Always carry chains.

www.mammothmuseum.org


Top
   
 
 Post subject: Re: Swinging back to La Nina.. or is that El Nino..
PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2017 5:39 pm 
Offline
Dragon's Back
Dragon's Back

Joined: Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:38 am
Posts: 5925
Location: 11053
It can turn off at any time, but this pattern had been coming back again and again since mid October. If the A/R events continue it will be rough times for many locals here in Mammoth Lakes.

_________________
Someday never come's, live for the moment!

http://mammothsnowman.com
http://discovermammoth.com


Top
   
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 674 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 41, 42, 43, 44, 45

All times are UTC - 8 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Majestic-12 [Bot], MSNbot Media and 2 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group