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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm 
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Dave's Run
Dave's Run
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Just suck it up. Put your trust in these here forums. We will never let you down.
Flame you, yes. Let you down, no. :)

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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:23 pm 
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Cornice Bowl
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Boils I don't know about, but deep depression and high blood pressure very possible.
I will trust in Ullr, May His/Her will be done.
It's probably asking a bit too much but Ullr, could I please have snow all about me but somehow keep my paths clear?

Ok, Ok, never mind just bring the snow, I'll deal with the paths later.


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:33 pm 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
158 PM PDT MON MAR 12 2018

CAZ096-130500-
/O.CON.KHNX.WS.W.0003.180313T2000Z-180315T0600Z/
SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DEVILS POSTPILE, FLORENCE LAKE,
LAKE THOMAS EDISON, TUOLUMNE MEADOWS, BASS LAKE, FISH CAMP,
AND WAWONA
158 PM PDT MON MAR 12 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO
11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 16
INCHES, WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 21 INCHES, ARE EXPECTED.
SNOW LEVEL STARTING NEAR 8000 FEET AND LOWERING TO 5000 FEET ON
WEDNESDAY WITH HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURRING ON TUESDAY EVENING.

* WHERE...SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON.

* WHEN...FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...PLAN ON DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS,
INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE ON TUESDAY. BE PREPARED
FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

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Life is not measured by the number of breaths we take but by the places and moments that take our breath away. - ANONYMOUS


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:35 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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They doubled the snow totals in that warning since yesterday. I hope that's a good sign.


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:46 pm 
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Dave's Run
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Its winding up.

Image

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Come for the weather, stay for the bacon, dont get kicked off the forum


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:53 pm 
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Climax
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Posts: 2875
Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
225 PM PDT MON MAR 12 2018

CAZ072-NVZ002-131200-
/O.UPG.KREV.WW.Y.0010.180313T2000Z-180315T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KREV.WS.W.0004.180313T2000Z-180314T1800Z/
GREATER LAKE TAHOE AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SOUTH LAKE TAHOE, TRUCKEE, STATELINE,
AND INCLINE VILLAGE
225 PM PDT MON MAR 12 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 11 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. FOR AREAS NEAR AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
89...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 14 INCHES, WITH 1 TO 2
FEET ABOVE 7000 FEET. FOR AREAS EAST OF HIGHWAY 89...TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES, WITH UP TO 12 INCHES ABOVE 7000
FEET.

* WHERE...GREATER LAKE TAHOE AREA.

* WHEN...FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 11 AM PDT WEDNESDAY. HEAVIEST SNOW
MOST LIKELY ABOVE 7000 FEET BETWEEN 2 AND 6 PM TUESDAY...THEN
AT ALL ELEVATIONS FOR MOST OF TUESDAY NIGHT.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...PLAN ON RAPIDLY WORSENING TRAVEL CONDITIONS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS
PRODUCING NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT, ESPECIALLY ON THE CALIFORNIA SIDE OF THE TAHOE REGION.
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE TAHOE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE, YOU COULD BE STUCK IN YOUR VEHICLE FOR
MANY HOURS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL, PREPARE FOR LONG DELAYS AND CARRY
AN EMERGENCY KIT WITH EXTRA FOOD, WATER AND CLOTHING. IF YOU STAY
HOME, HAVE A BACKUP PLAN IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES. THE LATEST
ROAD CONDITIONS CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1

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Life is not measured by the number of breaths we take but by the places and moments that take our breath away. - ANONYMOUS


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:06 pm 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
3.69" QPF through and including 14th.. same bullseye magnet area. 37.58,-119.33
Image

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Life is not measured by the number of breaths we take but by the places and moments that take our breath away. - ANONYMOUS


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:12 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Similar chart for the CNRFC 6 day with Mammoth solidly in the 5" range.

Image


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:27 pm 
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Climax
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Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
18ZGFS gives a bullish 8.26"QPF through 12Z Saturday...that's including Tue/Wed (3.69").

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Life is not measured by the number of breaths we take but by the places and moments that take our breath away. - ANONYMOUS


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:37 pm 
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Dave's Run
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It is crazy warm out there and the wind is really ramping up. I see rain showers already.

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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:03 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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NWS forecast adds up to 22 to 38" at Main by Thursday night.


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:30 pm 
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Climax
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Posts: 2875
Location: South facing foothills of the Santa Susanas
I can't do a hot link but there are all sorts of combinations to check...
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?type=sou ... verDim=100
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?type=s_p ... verDim=100

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Life is not measured by the number of breaths we take but by the places and moments that take our breath away. - ANONYMOUS


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:23 pm 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Location: Little slice of heaven in the Eastern Sierra
snowhottie wrote:
It is crazy warm out there and the wind is really ramping up. I see rain showers already.

Two days ago our entire roof cornice slid and crashed to the ground. Should have seen the chunks of ice in it that I shoveled into the sun to melt. Today was very warm at around 48. But looking at the McCoy cam into the light near Parallax, it appears to be snowing.

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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2018 1:37 am 
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Rodger's Ridge
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Down to the 72hr qpf at this point. Still holding strong.

Image


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 Post subject: Re: Stormsss MARCHing through...
PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2018 7:37 am 
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Cornice Bowl
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Posts: 791
Location: Hell awaits...
latest 8z NAM doesnt show main precip band til around noon
Image

Southerly upper air flow will bring warm air advection and sub trop tap. Looking at patrol gauges air is already over saturated thus looking at snow levels 8500-9K until the colder air arrives tonight. its going to be wet skiing at canyon eagle today. See thickness line on the map. Dont be fooled.

Socal: parent low for Friday may not see the Jet drop south into socal as prog by models on earlier runs thus prolly wont see #2 for precip at week's end, current run is also drier for todays storm. Euro 0z EPS run replaces that missing deluge for socal with a closed upper level low on the 20th this low has the potential to tap more tropical moisture as it drops over into the mid lats slows down before be pushed out by the next up stream syst.

P.S.
What the hell is going with patrol summary report. Last entry was for Feb 22. I base my forecast accuracy on what they report. Saturday storm saw 0.20 of liquid for Mammoth pass per noaa. With a half an inch of snow fallen on the hill by spotters.


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